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better quality comes from reducing variation

Want to improve the quality of your product or service?

The number one, most significant thing you can do to improve your product quality is to reduce variation and create a culture that values variation reduction.

variation reduction

Reducing variation is one of the basic principles behind the Toyota Production System and the root of why Japanese cars had better quality than American ones. Reducing variation (and using statistical methods to look for variation) was a principle Edwards Deming brought to Japan after WW2. Deming worked with Japanese companies to create a culture of quality through reductions in variation and the rest, shall we say, is history.

Reducing variation is a basic idea that has been around for decades and I am kind of amazed at how few people have heard about it much less internalized it in the USA. While it is part of the culture in Japanese manufacturers, it is still a pretty foreign idea everywhere else.

Toyota was already legendary for their quality cars. When they had all those recall problems this past year, what was their response? Reduce variation by cutting the number of designs and the number of design groups even more than they already had. They doubled down on variation reduction.

The benefits of reducing variation are not just for manufacturing.

Do you frequently lose your keys or glasses or the TV remote? That is probably because you set them down randomly, ie a lot of variation. If you get in the habit of always putting them in the same place, you eliminate the variation and you always know where they are.

Lets say you are at a software company that makes several products. Several of them need to do the same task. The most common (but wrong) choice is to have each product write the task themselves. The right answer is to abstract the tasks and write it once in a reusable library that all the products can share. If the products want to customize it, they do that themselves or they change their design and stick to the common solution. This method will make it easier to test for problems, fix problems that exist, and it will create a common experience for users that is easier to use and understand.

Keep it simple, reduce the variation, and your quality with go up. Your productivity will also increase as there are fewer fires to fight and people are not repeating the same work.

Microsoft and Apple

A good example of the impact of variation is in personal computers. As it happens, the two largest personal computer systems in the world took opposite approaches to variation.

Microsoft Windows is unarguably the most popular desktop operating system in the world. 9 of 10 personal computers run Windows. While Windows has been successful, the business model is based on increasing variation. Microsoft only writes the software OS; it relies on thousands of hardware partners to make the actual PC's that we all buy.

A PC is actually a complex system. The CPU, motherboard, memory, video card, hard drive, power supply... all these components are designed and manufactured by different companies. Yet other companies take these parts, assemble them, add Windows and sell it to consumers.

Even though the "PC" is something of an open standard and companies are using the same basic designs, there is a ton of variation in building them. Using a different capacitor or a different factory can be the difference between "it works" and "I keep getting a blue screen". On top of that, many of the companies have different designs altogether.

All of these products ultimately run the Windows operating system and consumers associate their experience with Microsoft. Microsoft is responsible for their quality and the quality of their experience. Microsoft has to test them.

Testing software involves a test matrix. Take all the combinations possible, put them in a matrix, test each case to make sure it works. Even if you only stick to the highest level and list the number of products from each consumer PC company, that matrix is gigantic. Frankly it is a miracle that the PC works at all given its high level of variation. Your average consumer has no idea how much effort goes into making Windows work on so many hardware products.

At the other extreme is Apple.

Apple makes everything itself. It writes the software OS and designs the hardware which it then contracts out to manufacturing. Apple products are all controlled by a single company from start to finish. There are no clones, no partners, just Apple. Right from the start, Apple has reduced the variation people experience with an Apple product.

Apple has further reduced variation to the handful of models that it makes and supports. To reduce variation over time, they make their OS very inexpensive and expect users to upgrade. This allows them to focus only on the current products and spend very little time fixing past mistakes.

Even Apple's design philosophy is based on cutting features, reducing options until you only have the most needed things for a good experience. Critics argue that Apple products are too limited but Apple argues that good design stems from making decisions and limiting variation. (Although they dont use the variation word.)

While Microsoft 's test matrix is incomprehensibly large, Apple's test matrix is manageable.

the consequences

And the results?

The overall Apple experience is consistently better. By focusing on reducing variation in the hardware and the software, Apple has built a reputation for quality at the consumer level. Apple products just work. Fans know that Apple products wont do everything but they are confident that what the products do do, they do well. Measures of brand loyalty, brand recognition, revenue growth and stock price indicate that Apple is doing something people like,.

Despite Herculean efforts, Microsoft has the opposite reputation for many people. Window's PC's are complicated and break easily. You have to update video drivers, or call friends, or hire the Geek Squad. So many people spend time on tech support phone calls, it is a common cultural experience and running joke.

I would argue these two experiences ultimately stem from two different approaches to the principle of variation. Apple cuts variation and delivers higher perceived quality. Microsoft tries to give everyone everything and falls short. In effect, Microsoft chose the biggest hill to climb and then grows that mountain over time with even more choices. Microsoft's model requires them to expend increasing effort just to deliver the base level of quality.

In recent years, even Microsoft has been making an effort to reduce variation because someone recognized how much it costs. Specifically they have been reducing the test matrix by cutting support for previous products (which also have to be in the test matrix). Windows Live Messenger used to support many different versions; now they just support the current version and the previous version. Microsoft has also stopped supporting Windows XP. Even though there are a lot of customers using XP on new hardware, Microsoft needs to reduce its variations and stick to the current version and the previous version, Windows 7 and Vista respectively. It is just a start but still a good sign for consumers.

a variation culture

So think about variation. Once you understand the significance of variation, you will start to see examples of it everywhere in your personal and professional life. Once you see it, you will see it everywhere.

Unfortunately that is just the start. The real impact comes from a culture of variation reduction, whether that is in your household or your company. Deming recognized 50 years ago that quality does not come from individuals, it comes from the culture individuals work in.

If you are the only one in your group that is trying to reduce variation, you will go insane. Your efforts will just feel like extra work to other people and the result will probably be even more tension and frustration.

Culture's that dont appreciate the principle of variation reduction are still trying to get better quality and the result is probably a culture of fire fighting. New problems never stop coming up, people work harder and harder to deal with the symptoms but they never make time for fixing the root cause, variation. The result is overwork, lower productivity, high stress, and frustration. Most cultures get addicted to fighting fires and fail to realize that the best approach to fighting fires is to prevent fires in the first place by reducing variation.

So once you see it in your own life, you need to try to get others to see it too and help create and spread a common understanding and culture about variation. "I am not asking you to do extra. If we do it this way, it is actually easier. There will be less problems and we will have more time to do other things." The principle of variation is a subtle but powerful mindset change that will have significant impact over time.

Honesty

A few years ago when I was in graduate school, a classmate asked me for feedback on a presentation they did. Since this was not a person I knew well, I was curious why they asked for my feedback.

"I want your feedback because I know you will tell the truth."

That answer really stuck with me. I have received the opposite feedback over the years that I am too abrupt or brutally honest so I became rather sensitive about volunteering my thoughts but here was a person that actively wanted to hear my truth. 'I know you are brutally honest so if you say I did good, I can believe it..."

Recently I had an epiphany (and I am a bit embarrassed to admit it took me this long to realize) about what a precious thing honesty is. I realized that I know hardly any people who could be honest and objective with me and that got me thinking about what a valuable and rare thing honesty is.

personal honesty

There are lot of reasons why honesty is rare.

Most people dont want to hurt your feelings. They will omit things or white-wash them or act like they are ok. Social harmony is a valuable thing to most people.

Not only are honest answers hard to give for many people, they are even harder to receive. People often ask for "honest" feedback but really just want to hear positive feedback. One has to be honest about wanting to hear honest feedback; they have to be open to hearing it.

Honesty is a tricky thing even on just a personal level. Whether it is that new haircut you love which makes you look like a fool or you are cheating on your spouse or stealing from your employer, most people will not give you an honest answer about how they feel. They will tell you what you want to hear.

While totally slamming someone with harsh feedback can feel powerful (and there is a ton of that kind of thing on the internet), unless it is anonymous, giving feedback actually makes you more vulnerable. Exposing what you really think makes you vulnerable to other people, it is like showing your cards so to speak. Even if you are not concerned about hurting someone's feelings, you may be concerned about revealing too much about yourself.

To take an extreme example, let's say you are a fascist, Nazi or a white-supremecist. Announcing your beliefs might make you some new friends or it could make you a pariah. Being open and honest about your thoughts is risky so most people play it safe and keep it to themselves. There are even proverbs about not being honest, such as "the nail that sticks up gets the hammer".

In the end, honesty is restricted to relationships in which both parties trust each other enough to handle it maturely.

workplace honesty

If honesty in your personal life is hard, its even worse in the workplace.

Let's say that someone was just fired or you got moved to a new org or you just heard details about the new product... Being honest and up front about how your really feel could help improve the situation or it could get you marginalized and removed. The savvy thing is often to keep quiet and let others decide which way to go. This is "decision by committee" and it stems from protecting yourself by hiding your true feelings.

Then there are people like myself who pursued scientific, engineering or mathematical careers. We often have a strong belief in "truth". These people are often more honest and blunt because its the truth, what else can you say?

Sadly philosophers have debated the very existence of a single or true truth for millennium. After all human beings filter reality through their own perceptions and brain so its easy to argue for truth but hard to prove it. When you are young, the TRUTH! always seems so obvious and unassailable but the older (and wiser) one gets, the more nuance appears and it gets harder to tell the truth from the could-be-truth. That may be your truth but its not mine...

So we focus on math or data or the code to tell the truth. All the other stuff (email, presentations, talk) are open to interpretation and mistakes. Unfortunately very few decisions can be reduced to math and even fewer company cultures really try.

political honesty

And then you have company politics.

In another life, I worked at a Silicon Valley startup during the dot-com craze. It was crazy on many levels.

At the time, lots of us read a website called fuckedCompany for candid, anonymous reports of the "truth". 'yes, we keep telling people that our company is about to take off but here is the truth of how fucked up our startup is...' It was entertaining, informative, and at times one really felt they were hearing the truth about how things were.

I have been thinking about this topic of honesty for several weeks but today I had a fuckedCompany moment while reading Mini-Microsoft.

Microsoft is a massive public corporation and like any large organization, it is very hard to get an honest answer about much of anything. It is hard to find out what happened (or is happening) and it is near impossible to find out why it happened.

Reading the anonymous posts on Mini, it just struck me that some of the posts (and only some) had the tone and content of real truth. The kind of truth that is never stated publicly by anyone at a company. The kind of truth one only gets from knowing the right person and being in their circle-of-trust. The kind of truth one finds within the vast quantities of chaff found in anonymous comments.

Were there layoffs? The company is not saying but you might find out on Mini. Who got fired and who really deserved to get fired? How is product/group X really doing? Again, the company isnt saying but you might find some honest answers on Mini. Mini has become Microsoft's very own FC.

All companies talk about honesty and often pride themselves on their corporate values but in practice it rarely happens. Just as for individuals, being honest is too risky. Someone might lose their job. Someone might get sued. Most serious issues are kept within a circle of trust (or a circle of delusion/cool-aid) and those on the outside are left to wonder and gossip.

In a work context, what most of us want to know is who is to blame, who made the decision. Unfortunately that kind of truth is often surprisingly difficult to determine even from people involved and when people are not trying to obfuscate what happened. Which is why other hierarchical institutions dont even try. The captain goes down with the ship because ultimately it doesnt matter who was to blame only that the ship was sinking and someone had to be responsible. Then again that kind of model might well be a fantasy; it certainly is not very common in corporations.

historical truth

What about history? If there is one place we can count on the truth, surely it is the historical record... Not so much. Even though we teach history as the truth, almost by definition none of us were there to experience it so we dont know. History has proven to be so false there is a saying: "history is written by the conquerers." At best history is an attempt to capture the truth of things that happened. At worst, it is an attempt to protect the guilty and cover up the truth about things that happened.

Possibly the only place one can find the honest truth is a TV mystery - because it is made up.

Yes, this started off as a simple post but when it comes to the topic of honesty and truth, there are a lot of things to consider. In the end, if you have some supportive, honest relationships in your life - cherish them. They are as rare as they are valuable.

bob parsons is the man

So all of a sudden I cannot get to my svn repository. Hmm. I cant get to my domain either. Instead I get a big flashy GoDaddy page brimming with web advertisements.

Turns out my domain, registered with GoDaddy, had expired. I never got an email warning but sometimes that happens.

While trying to run the gauntlet of upsell adverts for unnecessary crap and renew my domain, I spent a little more time than usual at GoDaddy.

For kicks I watched a Bob Parsons video. What... a... trip...

This guy is like a middle-aged Marine sergeant. "We're not here for a long time, we're here for a good time." Kill 'em all and let God sort 'em out. This is the kind of guy up at dawn, unlimited energy and a never-ending stream of sayings.

On one hand it is most amusing. On the other hand, between the babes, he actually has some interesting stuff to say. His 16 rules (available in 3 sizes at the GoDaddy store) are pretty good.

Who would have thought the "brains" behind those terrible TV commercials had something interesting to say.

company DNA

There are a lot of interesting aspects of a company’s culture. Malcolm Gladwell talks a lot about culture in his latest book, "Outliers: The Story of Success". Recently I have heard the phrase “company DNA” and I like that one a lot.

Companies rarely do well when they venture beyond their DNA.

In technology, we see this most readily in hardware/software comparisons.

Sony is a hardware company. They make good hardware but they totally struggle with software. The PS3 is a good example of a great hardware product that is totally hampered by software.

Conversely, we have Microsoft. Although Microsoft has made hardware for many years, they are essentially a software company. The Xbox has strong software, especially its networking code, but the hardware has struggled so much, they are a billion dollars or more in the red. So much money, that any other company would have long gone out of business.

Amazon is another tech company that is stretching their DNA. Amazon is great at supply chain management and good at web software. Hardware? Not so much which makes it is interesting to watch them struggle with the Kindle, their first hardware device.

Apple is one of the few companies that excels at hardware and software but even they have had some failures.

The idea of company DNA argues against the success of large conglomerates, companies that are really a collection of completely different businesses. Whether or not that is a hard rule, I think companies that stray beyond their DNA can expect to struggle and they will probably fail without a serious investment. The third Xbox will probably be a killer system but Microsoft clearly invested and struggled to get there.

The idea of company DNA can be applied to other cultural aspects too, not just the skills and discipline it takes to build different products, like hardware or software.

One can also look at the people and personality types that are rewarded and encouraged. Some companies have a culture of growing people and developing good managers. Other companies have “manage up” cultures where the most aggressive and self-centered leave others (the weak and the meek) behind.

Whether you are looking to invest, get a job or do a deal with a company, investigating their company DNA is a prudent thing to do.

research shows that Chinese people are actual people

The WSJ today had an article about research on workers in China. It turns out that Chinese people care about more than money. Hmmm. That took research?

If you dont know the concept behind Maslow's hierarchy of needs, you should. In a nutshell, money is the most important thing in your life until you have enough to satisfy your basic living needs of food, shelter, etc. Even with the migrant workers mentioned in this article, that amount of money is surprisingly low.

It stands to reason that every human being has a desire to be connected with others and to have their life mean something. Beyond the salary and the benefits, jobs give us something to belong to, something larger than ourselves to be a part of. Whether we are aware of it or not, most of us need that association. We need a tribe.

I am glad that research is showing that people, whether they are in China or the West, are more alike than they are different. In China's case, it is also interesting to consider how quickly the culture may be changing compared with say India or Latin America.

Misunderstanding the Chinese Worker

Western impressions are dated -- and probably wrong

By KATHRYN KING-METTERS and RICHARD METTERS

July 7, 2008

Wall Street Journal

Ask multinational firms to describe what motivates Chinese workers, and the responses are remarkably consistent: Money is the only thing that matters.

"Chinese have zero loyalty to their employer," one executive at a manufacturing firm told us. Said the general manager of a Shanghai hotel: "The most important motivator is money."

But those perceptions may be outdated and wrong.

Some of the disconnect between Western managers and Chinese workers stems from the fact that multinational companies formed their opinions of Chinese labor from their interactions with migrant laborers, whose main goal is to make enough money to give relatives back home a better life. Migrant workers account for a big chunk of the work force in China's special economic zones -- areas with more liberal economic laws where Western companies first set up shop in the early 1980s.

Although Western firms have since expanded into parts of China where workers have different goals and values than those of migrant laborers, many Western managers continue to cling to the belief that all Chinese workers value salary equally. Research conducted by academic Geert Hofstede decades ago and repeated in classrooms and by consultants ever since points in the same direction.

We believe, however, that major cultural shifts in China have changed workers' attitudes dramatically since Dr. Hofstede collected data on China in the mid-1980s as part of a world-wide study into how workplace values are influenced by culture. Major societal shifts -- the result of policies such as China's one-child rule -- have reduced the role of family, government, religion and neighbors in social networks. And with fewer opportunities to be part of a group or something larger than themselves, many Chinese workers are looking to their employers to fill that void.

two models of managing

I have had a lot of managers over the years and recently I have been reflecting on how to manage a small department.

There are a lot of ideas (books!) about management. If you put aside performance reviews, HR policies and the mechanical aspects of "management", there are two basic philosophies for first-line management.

Company culture usually determines which model is used and that starts with the CEO and moves downhill. The CEO picks a model and sets the tone. People who use their model are promoted; others are frustrated.

  • The first model is a miliary one. You (the manager) are given a task and a set of resources (your team). Your job is accomplish your task with those resources and no excuses. The manager is in charge and the team are just a means to an end.
  • The second model is the team model, as in team-sports. In this case, the manager and the team take the task as a given. The manager's job is to develop their team so that they grow and get promoted into better jobs. The manager's job is to be sure the team gets the task done while people enjoy themselves and feel like they are going somewhere. The same is true for the manager who is being developed by their own manager.

If you ask most managers, I would imagine they would describe theselves as the second type of manager. But in practice, two common situations get in the way.

One, fire-fighting. When its all-hands-on-deck emergency time, there is no bandwidth left for people development. The problem is that many companies are always in fire-fighting mode. Some company cultures cannot distinguish between executing on a plan and reacting. These cultures find that they are always reacting to the latest crisis (whether it is a real crisis or not) and they never get to other things that are important but not an emergency.

Two, weak or insecure managers. A manager cannot develop their team if they themselves are feeling insecure or threatened. For these managers, the last thing they want is to lose people especially the good ones. These teams find more fear than fun at work.

If these two problems are chronic, odds are that people are unhappy and turnover is high.

The military model works best in the military where the team has made a commitment (they enlisted), they experience intense social bonding and there is a clear hierachical structure. It works less well in a workplace because the workplace is less constrained and more open. When the going gets tough, people literally get going; they quit.

The team model deals more openly with change and more honestly with individual motivations and our desire to better ourselves. With the team model, one can have a conversation about pay and personal goals as well as about responsiblity. That kind of discussion wont come up in the military model.

The team model can be thought of like team sports where the manager is a coach and the employees are the players. This analogy makes mentoring easier. It is also easy to acknowledge that players leave (they quit or get fired) but the game goes on. If you are down a man the game doesnt end -- everyone just has to chip in.

The team model also deals better with fun. It is surprising how few place are fun to work at. (A few episodes of The Office ought to remind folks of the worst jobs they have had.) Fun has less to do with the company or the task than it has to do with attitudes and intangibles like camaraderie, teamwork, and humor. It is a lot easier to have fun if people feel people like they are in it together and working towards a common goal.

a customer's perspective on the changing face of media

I just read a fascinating article about YouTube in Wired Magazine's December issue called "YouTube vs. Boob Tube". The article does a great job of talking about the issues involved with "New Media" companies like YouTube in regards to advertising money.

What the article does not really cover is why, the root cause. Why is media changing?

Simply put, traditional media is changing because it did a poor job of servicing customers and it is no longer able to keep alternatives away from consumers.

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the Internet reshapes advertising

Increasing changes in the advertising industry are a further sign of the Internet's growing maturation and the ripple effects caused by Google.

These two articles are an indication that the Internet is becoming an advertising channel in its own right that can compete admirably with the tried and true venues of print and television. Not only is the Internet where the kids are but it is also much more measurable than those other mediums. The data angle was Google's insight and it continues to shake things up, albeit at a slow, steady pace.

To face the changing demands of customers, advertising companies are having to justify prices with data not just reputation. As a result, more and more small firms are getting big contracts.

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touching the global economy

About two months ago, I purchased a new laptop from Apple. Since I wanted more memory than their default, I could not just get one from the store so I had to order it online. Slightly delayed gratification.

Although trivial on some levels, the overall fulfillment experience totally amazed me. I got a new system, configured for me to my specifications, built and shipped from China! which arrived at my house only days after my order.

Most people probably take an experience like this for granted but as someone who has worked in manufacturing and studied the concepts of "built to order" production systems, the logistics involved here are simple amazing. My laptop from China got her faster than the software in the same order which came from California and from the East Coast.

This one small example shows that the global economy really is surging ahead into new areas for humankind.

reaping the rewards of individual pricing

In theory, the price a merchant should charge is the price that you are willing to pay. If you are willing to pay more than someone else, the merchant would make more profit.

In practice, merchants (in the US) set a price and charge everyone the same (since we dont negotiate most purchases). This type of pricing is easy to do but leaves an "economic surplus" on the table, unrealized.

Another way the information revolution is changing commerce is that it is allowing merchants to start capturing some of that surplus. Using information, online merchants are starting to focus on how they can offer everyone an individually tailored price/offer. This is an amazing change even though the consumer is not generally aware that it is happening.

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brand extensions

Have you heard of eBay Express? What about Half.com? If not, you arent alone.

I have seen a lot of those goofy commercials for eBay on TV but I havent seen anything about Express or Half. While Half.com has been around for years, it never seemed to garner much attention. eBay Express is new this year and it too seems largely unknown although it is an emphasis of the company.

I think eBay is a victim of its own success in somwe ways. There is so much stuff there, the experience is overwhelming for many people and that creates a major barrier to entry for new customers.

One way to address this problem is by brand extension - create new companies that slice of pieces of the eBay pie and privide a specialized service that is more targeted and easier to use. Hence Half and Express. I totally think that is the right way to go for eBay but it is proving slow if not difficult for them.

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some thoughts on software development

I studied software development in college and then spent a number of years building software products in different industries. I generally worked as a developer or project manager and my jobs have caused me to interact with people from just about every department in a normal company, including marketing, management, executives, HR, accounting, UI and QA.

Over the years, I have thought about the process of building better products and why there are so many failures and so few successes. My feeling is that the number one problem with software is not bugs; it is ease of use. Bugs can be quantified and fixed but products that are hard to use are not broken, they are built that way to begin with.

The root cause of this problem is threefold: the nature of design, the process and the people at most development companies.

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let wine be free

This topic is really interesting because a) I like wine and b) it illustrates how reality is often very different from the way we like to view ourselves.

In the USA, we love to tell everyone about our "free market" and how the "free" market will improve everyone's lives and how every other country should be just like us and our "free" market. The reality however is that our markets are far from free - there are government restrictions as well as government favoritism, like farm subsidies for corn and no-bid contracts for Iraq.

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the real source of movie riches

One thing I see over and over again is how the business view differs from the consumer view or experience. You assume things work one way when in reality they dont. Case in point: movie revenue.

Check out this graph. Do movies make money from actually showing the movie in theaters or do they make money from non-movie stuff like toys? Who'd of thunk that the movie biz is really the toy biz.

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can google stay googlish?

As someone who loves to talk about organizational systems and cultures, Google is a really interesting company. I might go so far as to say Google is a sociological experiment in trying to create a company of self-managed developers. An entrepreneurial company without management overhead. Something that most people would say cannot sustain existance.

It seems impossible but in my brief exposure to Google, I have to admit that I was impressed. They are something different.

But they are also successful and growing. Growth has killed a lot of golden geese at other companies. Can Google maintain their culture and continue to grow? This is a really interesting article about Google's hiring process, one that is every bit as eccentric as Microsoft's.

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innovation on an old thing at Carmax

A common misconception about entrepreneurship is that you have to come up with some crazy new idea. The reality is that there is money to be made by taking an existing business and improving it. Take Carmax for example.

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the competition never sleeps

Netflix has a terrific product. Sadly, even with a terrific product you cannot rest for very long.

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google swallows youtube for a google dollars

For the past year, I have been hearing reports about a) the insane number of people watching YouTube and b) the insane cost of running YouTube (specifically the cost of bandwidth).

About a week ago, I started to see articles about a possible purchase of YouTube by Google.

Yesterday, the articles confirming the purchase began (including a video of the two slacker founders on YT).

Now there is a wave of articles by and about the people who didn't buy YouTube telling everyone who will listen why it was stupid to purchase YouTube.

Hmmm...

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truth will set you free

Who needs prime-time TV dramas! If you watched 60 Minutes last night, you got to see a real life drama that is as exciting as any TV show.

The steamy story is non other than HP and the behavior of board members Perkins and Keyworth, the two guys behind the press "leaks" we have heard about and behind the removal of Carly Fiorina and Patricia Dunn.

So much for the HP way. Taken together, these stories show nothing but big company politics at its finest, most immature and personal levels. Which is to say the story is both unbelievable and totally convincing in the way personal dramas of the rich and famous often are.

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where's the beef?

If you had any doubts, sex can indeed sell anything - even hamburgers.

It is interesting to see how a product most of us grew up with is being marketed to a new (and unsuspecting) audience in China. No scary clowns in this advert of "trendy" bodies.

Real Player Version
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NWEN Breakfast July 2006

Last Friday I attended another NWEN breakfast. As usual, there were three speakers from local companies, including two 5-minute presentations and one main speaker. I enjoyed their stories and have been thinking about their comments.

Venture Breakfast - July 2006

Topic: Building a Lean, Clean, Web 2.0 News Machine

Speaker: Mike Davidson, CEO of Newsvine

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adCenter to compete with adWords

Google proved that there is a lot of money to be made from improving the effectiveness (and measurability of) Internet advertising. Ever the imitator, Microsoft has now embarked on a "fundamental shift in strategy" to claim some of those dollars for itself.

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measuring advertisements

As a consumer, we are all accustomed to advertisments but probably never think about how hard it is to measure the effectiveness of advertising. As a business, you want to pay for results which means you want to know which ads work, who they work on, and why. But this information is surprisingly difficult to get.

Measuring advertising is where Google is making its money and there are a number of other companies that are trying to address this problem. I have said before that I thoguht Tivo could have become such a measurement data company but this article covers some of the companies that are trying to solve this problem, some of which are pretty far-out there.

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It's a rough job, but someone has to do it

Is this the marketing version of the reality show? It is definitely an example of how people arent always as rich as they seem, although it sounds pretty good to be Nico Bossi. Why dont my parents own a cruise ship line?

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the next wave

The information revolution is well underway. At some times, it feels like the revolution came and went already along with the easy money in the 1990's. Other times, it feels like the process has just begun.

I have been looking at some companies recently and thinking about this information age. It strikes me that the past 20 or 30 years have been a process of getting computers physically installed in every business and every market. We started with 'big iron' mainframes, then the personal computer revolution with a computer on every desktop, and now we have portable computers like Blackberry's so that we can carry our computer everywhere.

But that was just the first wave of the revolution.

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the value of ideas < the value of execution

One of the surprising things I learned in business school was the value of ideas. Like a lot of people, I went in thinking that the key to startup fortunes was a good idea and I learned that this was wrong.

Ideas are cheap. Many people have similar ideas. The real key is execution. Very few people have what it takes to execute on a good idea.

Today I read a WSJ article on one of my ideas (at least very similar) which is being executed quite well by others :)

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once again games lead the way

Game companies are not known for marketing prowess but once again, game technology leads the way. By collecting real-time data on the type of hardware people have as well as how they play the game itself, companies using this data can build much better products because those products will be very closely tied to their customer's needs. (Valve has already had surveys of hardware with their Steam platform, even making the results available immediately to respondents, but this is the first time I have seen a product that measures gameplay too.)

There is a lot of power (and value) in data about actual customers and actual customer behavior. This is exactly the kind of thing I thought Tivo would exploit in the television advertising realm to go after the soft-underbelly of Nielson. Oh well.

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you're fired!

Have I already mentioned that I hate the Apprentice? No? Well I watched the first season and I hate the Apprentice.

I have been hesitant to admit this because so many people love the show. The undergrad entrepreneurship program at UW even does their own mock-Apprentice. But even so, I dislike the show. Why?

The Apprentice may be good TV but it is bad business.

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guerilla marketing is just human nature

In marketing class today we discussed a case on Red Bull and guerilla marketing. It was a good discussion and I kept thinking about two things: 1) the social pressure to conform and 2) the human desire to learn.

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consumer intelligence

In talking about his company, Zillow, Rich Barton used the term "consumer intelligence". This is intelligence in the sense of information not the sense of IQ. I liked the things Rich had to say and it caused me to think more about this information age we live in.

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is the tech business changing?

It is called "consumer surplus" and its foolish for companies to give it away. Companies wanting to maximize profits should set prices to match demand. They should NOT cut prices until demand falls because that means giving away potential profits. It has also been noted that trying to compete on price only drives the prices (and profits) down.

Even though this behavior is bad for companies, they seem to be dong it. Is this stupidity or does it reflect a change, ie compression, of the business cycle where technology products cut prices so fast its hard to recoup the investment?

On the good side, I hope that the existence of more flat-panel TV's puts market pressure on TV broadcasters to improve the HDTV offerings.

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